Znicz Biała Piska vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Znicz Biała Piska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
KSL
1 - 2
ZBP
63%
19%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ZBP
1 - 1
CON
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SWI
0 - 1
ZBP
65%
18%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ZBP
0 - 1
PGM
54%
21%
24%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
KSB
6 - 3
ZBP
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
UWA
1 - 0
SAL
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
WAS
0 - 2
UWA
11%
18%
71%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
UWA
0 - 2
BRA
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
POL
2 - 1
UWA
65%
20%
16%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
KSL
1 - 1
UWA
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |