Croatia Third Division South Round 27

Zmaj Makarska vs Orkan analysis

Zmaj Makarska Orkan
33 ELO 31
2.5% Tilt -4.1%
29401º General ELO ranking 38169º
158º Country ELO ranking 232º
ELO win probability
48%
Zmaj Makarska
21.5%
Draw
30.6%
Orkan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
Zmaj Makarska
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
30.6%
Win probability
Orkan
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zmaj Makarska
-39%
-1%
Orkan

ELO progression

Zmaj Makarska
Orkan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zmaj Makarska
Zmaj Makarska
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2017
NER
Neretva
4 - 2
Zmaj Makarska
MAK
56%
23%
21%
33 36 3 0
12 Apr. 2017
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
0 - 2
Hajduk Split II
HAJ
25%
25%
50%
34 47 13 -1
08 Apr. 2017
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
4 - 0
NK Otok
OTO
43%
24%
34%
33 34 1 +1
01 Apr. 2017
VAL
Val Kaštel Stari
2 - 1
Zmaj Makarska
MAK
51%
24%
25%
33 35 2 0
26 Mar. 2017
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
4 - 2
Zmaj Blato
ZMA
31%
24%
45%
31 38 7 +2

Matches

Orkan
Orkan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2017
NKO
Orkan
2 - 1
NK Otok
OTO
51%
21%
28%
32 31 1 0
11 Apr. 2017
VAL
Val Kaštel Stari
2 - 0
Orkan
NKO
49%
22%
29%
34 35 1 -2
08 Apr. 2017
NKO
Orkan
2 - 0
Zmaj Blato
ZMA
32%
22%
46%
31 37 6 +3
01 Apr. 2017
JAD
NK Jadran LP
5 - 1
Orkan
NKO
52%
21%
26%
33 34 1 -2
25 Mar. 2017
NKO
Orkan
2 - 3
Zadar
ZAD
29%
21%
50%
34 40 6 -1