FC Zlín vs Slovan Liberec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
9º
8º
11
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 54 |
1º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 52 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 51 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 50 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 45 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 44 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 43 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 41 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 41 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 40 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 38 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 33 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 33 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 32 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 19 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
34% | 37.5% |
|
Next round
|
42% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Zlín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
SIG
1 - 0
ZLI
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
ZLI
3 - 2
MBO
40%
25%
36%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 1
ZLI
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
ZLI
1 - 1
SLO
47%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
TEP
1 - 3
ZLI
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
SLI
0 - 2
SPA
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
SLI
2 - 0
DUK
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SIG
2 - 1
SLI
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
SLI
2 - 1
PAR
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
MBO
3 - 3
SLI
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |