Zhemchuzhina Sochi vs Aruan Nartkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zhemchuzhina Sochi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2001 |
AST
1 - 1
ZHE
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
ZHE
0 - 2
KRD
56%
22%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
SHA
2 - 0
ZHE
11%
19%
70%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | -3 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ZHE
4 - 2
ANG
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2001 |
DMA
3 - 1
ZHE
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aruan Nartkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2001 |
ARN
1 - 1
ARG
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
ARN
1 - 2
AST
46%
26%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
KRD
4 - 0
ARN
72%
17%
12%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
ARN
3 - 2
SHA
72%
18%
11%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2001 |
ANG
1 - 0
ARN
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |