CAF Champions . Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Zesco United vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zesco United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MBL
1 - 2
ZES
52%
25%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
ZES
1 - 0
FOR
57%
23%
19%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ZES
0 - 0
EAG
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
ZES
1 - 1
WYD
15%
24%
62%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
ZES
4 - 0
POW
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
SUN
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
SUN
32%
25%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SUN
3 - 1
SSU
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
ENY
3 - 1
SUN
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 0
ZAM
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |