Zavrč vs NK Rogaška analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
71.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zavrč
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2025 |
ZAV
5 - 0
LJU
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2025 |
SDG
0 - 5
ZAV
8%
12%
80%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
ZAV
1 - 3
NKH
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
ZAV
0 - 0
KOR
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
SMA
3 - 2
ZAV
47%
22%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
NK Rogaška
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2025 |
POD
1 - 0
ROG
10%
19%
71%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
ROG
1 - 0
FUZ
81%
14%
5%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
BRE
0 - 2
ROG
16%
19%
66%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
VID
3 - 0
ROG
15%
21%
64%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
ROG
6 - 0
DOB
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |