Zarauzko Ke vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zarauzko Ke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BFC
4 - 0
ZAR
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 1
BEA
14%
23%
64%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ELG
2 - 0
ZAR
72%
18%
10%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZAR
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
ZAR
1 - 2
LAU
15%
24%
61%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GER
1 - 2
ZAM
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LEI
2 - 0
GER
38%
29%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GER
1 - 0
EIB
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
GER
2 - 0
CDV
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
ARE
0 - 0
GER
27%
29%
44%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |