Zaragoza 2014 vs Valdefierro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
41%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
UJV
2 - 1
ZAR
7%
13%
80%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SJU
0 - 1
ZAR
32%
22%
46%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ZAR
3 - 0
SFE
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
ZAR
21%
20%
59%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RAN
0 - 3
ZAR
17%
19%
65%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valdefierro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CFV
2 - 1
SJU
66%
19%
16%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
CFV
14%
18%
69%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CFV
4 - 1
RAN
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CFV
5 - 2
DEL
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ZUE
2 - 3
CFV
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |