Zaragoza 2014 vs Alcorisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GAL
3 - 1
ZAR
37%
23%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ZAR
3 - 0
SAD
50%
21%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CFV
4 - 2
ZAR
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ZAR
2 - 3
FUE
41%
22%
38%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CDM
0 - 3
ZAR
45%
22%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 2
HCJ
63%
19%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
4 - 0
ALC
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LAA
4 - 2
ALC
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 3
ATC
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 3
CAL
56%
22%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |