Apertura Venezuela . Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Zamora FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
EST
1 - 3
ZAM
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
ARA
3 - 2
ZAM
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CFC
53%
25%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
EST
3 - 0
ZAM
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
ZAM
3 - 0
TRU
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
EST
1 - 3
ZAM
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
EST
4 - 2
ESC
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ATL
4 - 0
EST
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 0
EST
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
EST
3 - 0
ZAM
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |