Clausura Venezuela round 1

Zamora FC vs Caracas analysis

Zamora FC Caracas
71 ELO 74
7.6% Tilt -12%
2181º General ELO ranking 1422º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.9%
Zamora FC
24.2%
Draw
29.9%
Caracas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
Zamora FC
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.9%
Win probability
Caracas
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zamora FC
-12%
-1%
Caracas

ELO progression

Zamora FC
Caracas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zamora FC
Zamora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2012
EST
Estudiantes de Mérida
0 - 0
Zamora FC
ZAM
28%
28%
44%
71 59 12 0
02 Dec. 2012
ZAM
Zamora FC
5 - 2
Trujillanos
TRU
58%
24%
18%
70 67 3 +1
24 Nov. 2012
DEP
La Guaira
1 - 2
Zamora FC
ZAM
33%
29%
38%
69 62 7 +1
22 Nov. 2012
TAC
Deportivo Táchira
2 - 0
Zamora FC
ZAM
35%
29%
37%
70 63 7 -1
18 Nov. 2012
ZAM
Zamora FC
3 - 0
Mineros de Guayana
MIN
45%
26%
29%
69 72 3 +1

Matches

Caracas
Caracas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2012
TAC
Deportivo Táchira
1 - 3
Caracas
CFC
31%
28%
41%
73 65 8 0
02 Dec. 2012
CFC
Caracas
2 - 1
Monagas
MON
70%
20%
10%
73 58 15 0
25 Nov. 2012
YAR
Yaracuyanos
0 - 2
Caracas
CFC
23%
27%
50%
73 61 12 0
18 Nov. 2012
CFC
Caracas
4 - 1
Llaneros de Guanare
LLA
64%
22%
14%
72 61 11 +1
11 Nov. 2012
MIR
Deportivo Miranda
4 - 1
Caracas
CFC
30%
29%
41%
73 66 7 -1