Primera División Venezolana Temporada Regular. Jor. 29

Zamora FC vs Carabobo analysis

Zamora FC Carabobo
63 ELO 70
4.2% Tilt 0.4%
1804º General ELO ranking 924º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.9%
Zamora FC
28.5%
Draw
30.6%
Carabobo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
Zamora FC
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
30.6%
Win probability
Carabobo
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zamora FC
-23%
+8%
Carabobo

Points and table prediction

Zamora FC
Their league position
Carabobo
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
14º
12º
45
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Deportivo Táchira
61
62
100%
Puerto Cabello
60
60
100%
Portuguesa FC
46
46
100%
Caracas
45
45
100%
Carabobo
45
45
100%
La Guaira
39
39
100%
Metropolitanos
39
39
100%
Rayo Zuliano
36
36
65.5%
Estudiantes de Mérida
33
34
65.5%
Angostura
10º
30
30
10º
0%
Monagas
11º
30
30
11º
0%
Zamora FC
12º
30
30
12º
0%
UCV
13º
27
27
13º
100%
Inter De Barinas
14º
24
24
14º
100%
Mineros de Guayana
15º
20
20
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
Zamora FC
Carabobo
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
0% 0%
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Zamora FC
Carabobo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zamora FC
Zamora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
EST
Estudiantes de Mérida
2 - 2
Zamora FC
ZAM
43%
26%
31%
64 63 1 0
16 Sep. 2023
ZAM
Zamora FC
4 - 1
Metropolitanos
MET
37%
28%
35%
62 68 6 +2
27 Aug. 2023
MIN
Mineros de Guayana
1 - 2
Zamora FC
ZAM
33%
26%
41%
62 54 8 0
20 Aug. 2023
ZAM
Zamora FC
2 - 1
La Guaira
DEP
34%
27%
39%
61 66 5 +1
13 Aug. 2023
CFC
Caracas
4 - 0
Zamora FC
ZAM
64%
22%
15%
61 70 9 0

Matches

Carabobo
Carabobo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2023
TAC
Deportivo Táchira
1 - 0
Carabobo
CAR
55%
25%
19%
70 73 3 0
01 Sep. 2023
CAR
Carabobo
1 - 1
Angostura
ANG
67%
21%
12%
70 57 13 0
26 Aug. 2023
APC
Puerto Cabello
0 - 0
Carabobo
CAR
48%
28%
24%
70 70 0 0
18 Aug. 2023
CAR
Carabobo
1 - 0
Inter De Barinas
BAR
63%
22%
15%
69 58 11 +1
13 Aug. 2023
MON
Monagas
1 - 1
Carabobo
CAR
39%
29%
32%
69 63 6 0
X