CAF Champions . Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Zamalek vs MO Béjaïa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ISM
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 0
DAB
91%
8%
2%
|
77 | 8 | 69 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 0
UNI
65%
22%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
ZAM
36%
26%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 0
MOK
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
MO Béjaïa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 5
MOB
31%
29%
41%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MOB
1 - 1
RCR
58%
26%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MOB
2 - 0
CLU
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CLU
1 - 0
MOB
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -3 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 3
MOB
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +3 |