CAF Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Zamalek vs Kedus St George analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
5.5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamalek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MOK
0 - 0
ZAM
7%
13%
80%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ISM
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
GEI
1 - 2
ZAM
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MOK
86%
10%
3%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
EEE
1 - 3
ZAM
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Kedus St George
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ETB
1 - 0
KGI
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DJO
1 - 1
KGI
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
MUC
0 - 0
KGI
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
KGI
2 - 0
ENB
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
KGI
2 - 0
DJO
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |