Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Riteriai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
8º
5º
14
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 61 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 54 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 47 |
3º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 43 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 39 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 18 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 46.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
FAS
2 - 2
ZAL
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 0
SUD
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 2
KZA
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
LIN
2 - 0
ZAL
27%
22%
50%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
0 - 0
LIN
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FK Riteriai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
BAN
2 - 0
TRA
46%
26%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
TRA
1 - 3
PAN
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
HLI
3 - 0
TRA
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
SUD
0 - 0
TRA
43%
29%
29%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
TRA
0 - 2
FAS
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |