Zalgiris Vilnius vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
TRA
2 - 2
ZAL
10%
19%
70%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
SUD
2 - 0
ZAL
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BAN
86%
11%
3%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
ZAL
3 - 1
KZA
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
PAN
1 - 2
ZAL
8%
17%
76%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
KUR
0 - 4
PAI
13%
20%
67%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
TUL
1 - 3
PAI
14%
21%
65%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
PAI
4 - 0
TAL
90%
7%
3%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
PAI
9 - 0
TUL
94%
5%
1%
|
66 | 21 | 45 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
TJK
0 - 3
PAI
36%
24%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |