A Lyga Round 15

Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Panevėžys analysis

Zalgiris Vilnius FK Panevėžys
77 ELO 75
0.4% Tilt 9.9%
975º General ELO ranking 937º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.3%
Zalgiris Vilnius
26.1%
Draw
29.6%
FK Panevėžys

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
Zalgiris Vilnius
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.6%
Win probability
FK Panevėžys
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zalgiris Vilnius
-4%
+1%
FK Panevėžys

Points and table prediction

Zalgiris Vilnius
Their league position
FK Panevėžys
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
87
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FK Panevėžys
87
87
100%
Zalgiris Vilnius
75
75
100%
Siauliai
62
62
100%
FC Hegelmann
59
59
0%
Kauno Žalgiris
59
59
0%
Banga
36
36
100%
Sūduva
35
35
100%
Dainava
31
31
100%
Dziugas Telsiai
25
25
0%
FK Riteriai
10º
25
25
10º
0%
Expected probabilities
Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Panevėžys
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Panevėžys
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zalgiris Vilnius
Zalgiris Vilnius
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2023
KZA
Kauno Žalgiris
3 - 0
Zalgiris Vilnius
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
78 73 5 0
20 May. 2023
SUD
Sūduva
2 - 1
Zalgiris Vilnius
ZAL
17%
25%
58%
78 66 12 0
14 May. 2023
ZAL
Zalgiris Vilnius
2 - 1
Kauno Žalgiris
KZA
48%
25%
27%
78 73 5 0
07 May. 2023
AFK
Alternatyvus
0 - 6
Zalgiris Vilnius
ZAL
3%
9%
88%
78 10 68 0
03 May. 2023
TRA
FK Riteriai
0 - 2
Zalgiris Vilnius
ZAL
19%
26%
55%
77 66 11 +1

Matches

FK Panevėžys
FK Panevėžys
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2023
FAS
Siauliai
0 - 0
FK Panevėžys
PAN
35%
27%
38%
75 71 4 0
13 May. 2023
PAN
FK Panevėžys
0 - 0
Sūduva
SUD
60%
23%
17%
76 66 10 -1
07 May. 2023
NEP
Neptunas Klaipėda
1 - 1
FK Panevėžys
PAN
18%
21%
61%
76 58 18 0
04 May. 2023
KZA
Kauno Žalgiris
0 - 1
FK Panevėžys
PAN
39%
27%
34%
75 74 1 +1
29 Apr. 2023
PAN
FK Panevėžys
3 - 1
FK Riteriai
TRA
58%
24%
18%
75 67 8 0