Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
8º
5º
34
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 60 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 46 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 43 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 42 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 39 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
9º
|
61% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 19 |
10º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
17% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 2
BAN
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ZAL
5 - 0
FKT
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ZAL
6 - 0
FKE
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 1
WIG
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 3
HLI
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 0
GRO
38%
23%
39%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 0
SUP
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 1
NEP
33%
23%
44%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 3
DTE
28%
23%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
TRA
1 - 1
DTE
59%
22%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |