Zalgiris Vilnius vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1995 |
TRA
1 - 0
ZAL
86%
10%
5%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1995 |
ZAL
2 - 2
TRA
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1994 |
FEY
2 - 1
ZAL
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1994 |
ZAL
1 - 1
FEY
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1992 |
ZAL
0 - 2
PSV
19%
22%
59%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
CRU
3 - 3
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
CLI
2 - 1
CRU
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
CRU
1 - 0
BAN
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
CRU
2 - 0
ARD
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |