Žalgiris II vs Nevezis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
13º
5º
17
5º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 78 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 62 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 62 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 61 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 53 |
5º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 53 |
6º
|
53% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 37 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 35 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 31 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 31 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 27 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 27 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
16º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FKT
1 - 1
ZAL
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
ZAL
3 - 3
NEP
19%
21%
60%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
BAB
2 - 1
ZAL
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BEN
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 3
FKT
19%
22%
60%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
NEV
1 - 3
MIN
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SIA
3 - 1
NEV
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
NEV
0 - 1
PAN
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
FHL
1 - 0
NEV
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 2
NEV
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |