Žalgiris II vs Neptunas Klaipėda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
13º
5º
42
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 78 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 62 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 62 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 61 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 53 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 53 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 31 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 30 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 27 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 27 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 25 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 41.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
BAB
2 - 1
ZAL
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BEN
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 3
FKT
19%
22%
60%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
ZAL
21%
22%
57%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 4
ZAL
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Neptunas Klaipėda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
NEP
0 - 1
MIN
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
SIA
2 - 3
NEP
9%
16%
75%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 5
NEP
9%
17%
74%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
NEP
2 - 0
FHL
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 3
NEP
10%
18%
73%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |