Zalamea vs Moguer CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
59.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalamea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
ZAL
64%
20%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CDP
4 - 2
ZAL
70%
16%
13%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ZAL
2 - 0
OCF
22%
23%
55%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HIN
2 - 0
ZAL
65%
19%
17%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ZAL
1 - 2
COR
27%
24%
49%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MOG
2 - 0
CDP
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OCF
1 - 1
MOG
31%
26%
43%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
2 - 0
HIN
56%
22%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
MOG
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
0 - 2
ALJ
27%
23%
50%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |