NK Zagreb vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
ZAG
2 - 1
SPL
38%
26%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
INT
3 - 1
ZAG
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
IST
0 - 1
ZAG
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
ZAG
2 - 1
RIJ
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ZAD
1 - 0
ZAG
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
ZAG
2 - 1
SPL
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SPL
3 - 1
IST
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RIJ
2 - 0
SPL
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SPL
3 - 1
ZAD
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
HNS
1 - 2
SPL
32%
29%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |