1. HNL Round 1

Zadar vs Split analysis

Zadar Split
60 ELO 75
7.9% Tilt 4.1%
21698º General ELO ranking 21697º
101º Country ELO ranking 100º
ELO win probability
26.4%
Zadar
27.1%
Draw
46.5%
Split

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
Zadar
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
46.5%
Win probability
Split
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Zadar
Split
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zadar
Zadar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jun. 2014
BRA
FC Brasov
2 - 0
Zadar
ZAD
74%
17%
9%
60 79 19 0
17 May. 2014
ZAD
Zadar
1 - 0
NK Istra 1961
IST
34%
27%
39%
59 69 10 +1
11 May. 2014
SLA
NK Slaven Belupo
5 - 1
Zadar
ZAD
63%
21%
16%
60 65 5 -1
04 May. 2014
ZAD
Zadar
3 - 4
Lokomotiva
LOK
29%
26%
46%
61 71 10 -1
27 Apr. 2014
HDR
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
2 - 1
Zadar
ZAD
42%
27%
31%
61 60 1 0

Matches

Split
Split
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jul. 2014
SPL
Split
2 - 1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
HBS
45%
25%
31%
74 75 1 0
10 Jul. 2014
MIK
Mika
1 - 1
Split
SPL
37%
27%
36%
74 69 5 0
03 Jul. 2014
SPL
Split
2 - 0
Mika
MIK
57%
23%
20%
73 70 3 +1
16 May. 2014
SPL
Split
1 - 1
Lokomotiva
LOK
50%
25%
25%
73 70 3 0
09 May. 2014
HDR
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
3 - 2
Split
SPL
24%
28%
49%
74 60 14 -1