Zacapa vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
12º
11º
27
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
ZAC
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 1
GUA
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 2
ZAC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 0
MUN
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ZAC
4 - 0
TOR
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MIX
0 - 0
CHI
45%
29%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 0
MIX
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
XIN
0 - 0
MIX
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
COB
2 - 2
MIX
42%
28%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MIX
3 - 0
COA
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |