Zacande vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZAC
72%
17%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ZAC
1 - 1
MAT
53%
22%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
ZAC
40%
25%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ZAC
2 - 2
ARC
42%
25%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CUN
1 - 2
ZAC
68%
19%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AMA
2 - 1
MAT
60%
21%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 1
AMA
52%
23%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
AMA
2 - 1
ALA
42%
25%
33%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
USD
1 - 3
AMA
29%
24%
47%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 0
MOR
22%
22%
56%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |