Baiano 2 Semi-finals

Global 2-2

Ypiranga FC vs Itabuna analysis

Ypiranga FC Itabuna
54 ELO 44
2.9% Tilt 2.5%
1584º General ELO ranking 2738º
54º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
59.1%
Ypiranga FC
21.2%
Draw
19.7%
Itabuna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
Ypiranga FC
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.7%
Win probability
Itabuna
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ypiranga FC
-3%
+11%
Itabuna

ELO progression

Ypiranga FC
Itabuna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ypiranga FC
Ypiranga FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2011
YPI
Ypiranga FC
1 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
10%
21%
69%
53 85 32 0
10 Apr. 2011
ECS
EC São José
1 - 2
Ypiranga FC
YPI
60%
21%
19%
52 60 8 +1
03 Apr. 2011
YPI
Ypiranga FC
4 - 2
Caxias do Sul
CAX
22%
25%
53%
50 69 19 +2
28 Mar. 2011
LAJ
Lajeadense
1 - 1
Ypiranga FC
YPI
36%
25%
39%
50 48 2 0
24 Mar. 2011
NOV
Novo Hamburgo
1 - 0
Ypiranga FC
YPI
60%
21%
19%
51 59 8 -1

Matches

Itabuna
Itabuna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2011
ITA
Itabuna
1 - 2
Jequié
JEQ
67%
19%
14%
45 36 9 0
29 May. 2011
JAC
Jacuipense
3 - 1
Itabuna
ITA
45%
24%
31%
47 46 1 -2
21 May. 2011
ITA
Itabuna
2 - 0
Poções
POC
63%
21%
16%
46 33 13 +1
08 May. 2011
GAC
Guanambí
1 - 4
Itabuna
ITA
27%
25%
49%
45 37 8 +1
01 May. 2011
ITA
Itabuna
5 - 1
Guanambí
GAC
64%
21%
16%
45 38 7 0