York City vs Coalville Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
YOR
1 - 1
KID
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ALF
2 - 3
YOR
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
YOR
2 - 1
CUR
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
YOR
2 - 3
TAM
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SAL
3 - 2
YOR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Coalville Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LAN
4 - 2
COA
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ALV
1 - 5
COA
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
COA
1 - 2
ASH
25%
22%
53%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
HAL
2 - 3
COA
38%
24%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
RED
0 - 1
COA
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |