Yokohama F. Marinos vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2018 |
FCY
2 - 1
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
FCY
1 - 1
GAM
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
VEG
4 - 2
FCY
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
NAG
1 - 1
FCY
20%
26%
53%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
FCY
1 - 3
JUB
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2018 |
SHO
2 - 0
VVA
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
VVA
3 - 0
NAG
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
SAG
2 - 1
VVA
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CER
3 - 1
VVA
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
KAA
2 - 1
VVA
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |