Switzerland Fourth Division Round 20

YF Juventus vs Lugano II analysis

YF Juventus Lugano II
42 ELO 35
6.7% Tilt 1.2%
4469º General ELO ranking 4243º
49º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
65.1%
YF Juventus
19%
Draw
15.8%
Lugano II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
YF Juventus
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.9%
Win probability
Lugano II
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
YF Juventus
-8%
+54%
Lugano II

ELO progression

YF Juventus
Lugano II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

YF Juventus
YF Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2011
SCB
SC Bruhl
1 - 0
YF Juventus
YFJ
53%
23%
24%
42 43 1 0
12 Mar. 2011
YFJ
YF Juventus
0 - 4
Tuggen
TUG
40%
25%
36%
44 48 4 -2
05 Mar. 2011
YFJ
YF Juventus
2 - 0
Luzern II
LUZ
47%
24%
29%
43 44 1 +1
20 Nov. 2010
YFJ
YF Juventus
1 - 1
FC Gossau
FCG
59%
21%
20%
43 37 6 0
13 Nov. 2010
YFJ
YF Juventus
1 - 0
Buochs
BUO
79%
14%
7%
43 28 15 0

Matches

Lugano II
Lugano II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2011
LUG
Lugano II
3 - 1
Zug 94
ZUG
56%
21%
23%
35 32 3 0
05 Mar. 2011
RAP
Rapperswil
2 - 0
Lugano II
LUG
76%
15%
9%
36 49 13 -1
27 Feb. 2011
LUG
Lugano II
1 - 2
SC Cham
CHA
46%
23%
30%
36 40 4 0
20 Nov. 2010
MEN
Mendrisio-Stabio
1 - 2
Lugano II
LUG
46%
25%
30%
36 36 0 0
13 Nov. 2010
STG
St. Gallen II
3 - 1
Lugano II
LUG
38%
24%
38%
37 30 7 -1