Yate Town vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
YAT
2 - 4
RUG
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
STO
1 - 3
YAT
41%
24%
36%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
YAT
1 - 1
STO
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TIV
3 - 2
YAT
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
SWI
3 - 0
YAT
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 3
TIV
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 2
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
HEM
0 - 0
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 3
COR
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CAM
5 - 0
BAS
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |