Al Yarmouk vs Al Nasar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Yarmouk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 1
YAR
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
YAR
1 - 3
KAZ
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ALK
4 - 2
YAR
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
YAR
0 - 2
ALN
22%
22%
56%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
KAZ
3 - 1
YAR
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Al Nasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
ALN
1 - 1
KAZ
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
AFH
0 - 0
ALN
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ALN
3 - 2
ALS
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALN
1 - 2
KAZ
33%
25%
43%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
YAR
0 - 2
ALN
22%
22%
56%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |