Yagüe vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CDS
1 - 2
YAG
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
YAG
0 - 4
ANG
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
RAP
3 - 0
YAG
60%
21%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
YAG
2 - 4
AGO
31%
26%
43%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
BAÑ
0 - 2
YAG
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CAL
0 - 0
CEN
37%
25%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 2
CAL
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
CAL
1 - 6
ADF
11%
19%
71%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CIU
3 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CAL
0 - 2
NAX
22%
24%
55%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |