Cup Paulista Fase de Grupos round 4

XV de Piracicaba vs União São João analysis

XV de Piracicaba União São João
64 ELO 49
-12.1% Tilt -9.2%
2602º General ELO ranking 4714º
75º Country ELO ranking 161º
ELO win probability
63.9%
XV de Piracicaba
20.5%
Draw
15.6%
União São João

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
XV de Piracicaba
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.6%
Win probability
União São João
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
XV de Piracicaba
-16%
+3%
União São João

ELO progression

XV de Piracicaba
União São João
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

XV de Piracicaba
XV de Piracicaba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2024
CAT
Taquaritinga
1 - 0
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
12%
20%
68%
64 44 20 0
22 Jun. 2024
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
1 - 1
Rio Claro
RIO
59%
24%
17%
64 55 9 0
28 Mar. 2024
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
1 - 1
Portuguesa Santista
POR
55%
25%
20%
64 58 6 0
24 Mar. 2024
POR
Portuguesa Santista
3 - 2
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
29%
26%
46%
65 57 8 -1
16 Mar. 2024
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
1 - 3
Rio Claro
RIO
65%
22%
13%
66 53 13 -1

Matches

União São João
União São João
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2024
UNI
União São João
1 - 1
Grêmio Sãocarlense
GDS
58%
22%
20%
50 45 5 0
15 Jun. 2024
CAT
Taquaritinga
1 - 0
União São João
UNI
25%
23%
52%
51 40 11 -1
23 Mar. 2024
GRE
Grêmio Prudente
2 - 1
União São João
UNI
45%
24%
32%
51 52 1 0
16 Mar. 2024
UNI
União São João
3 - 0
Matonense
MAT
73%
16%
11%
51 31 20 0
14 Mar. 2024
SAO
São Caetano
1 - 3
União São João
UNI
29%
25%
47%
51 43 8 0