Paulista A2 First Stage Round 4

XV de Piracicaba vs Grêmio Prudente analysis

XV de Piracicaba Grêmio Prudente
59 ELO 47
-14% Tilt -14.7%
3359º General ELO ranking 4575º
91º Country ELO ranking 142º
ELO win probability
62.6%
XV de Piracicaba
21.7%
Draw
15.7%
Grêmio Prudente

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
XV de Piracicaba
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.7%
Win probability
Grêmio Prudente
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
XV de Piracicaba
-2%
+50%
Grêmio Prudente

ELO progression

XV de Piracicaba
Grêmio Prudente
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

XV de Piracicaba
XV de Piracicaba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2025
CAP
Capivariano
1 - 1
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
33%
25%
42%
59 53 6 0
18 Jan. 2025
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
2 - 0
Linense CA
LIN
53%
24%
22%
58 53 5 +1
15 Jan. 2025
OES
Oeste
1 - 2
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
25%
26%
49%
58 52 6 0
14 Sep. 2024
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
1 - 2
Portuguesa
POR
34%
27%
39%
58 62 4 0
07 Sep. 2024
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 0
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
43%
27%
30%
59 62 3 -1

Matches

Grêmio Prudente
Grêmio Prudente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2025
GRE
Grêmio Prudente
0 - 1
São Bento
SAO
33%
27%
41%
48 56 8 0
19 Jan. 2025
ITU
Ituano
3 - 2
Grêmio Prudente
GRE
84%
12%
4%
48 76 28 0
15 Jan. 2025
GRE
Grêmio Prudente
2 - 0
São José
SAO
24%
24%
52%
47 57 10 +1
17 Aug. 2024
VOT
Votuporanguense
4 - 0
Grêmio Prudente
GRE
58%
23%
19%
48 54 6 -1
14 Aug. 2024
GRE
Grêmio Prudente
1 - 1
Mirassol U23
MIR
69%
18%
13%
48 29 19 0