XV de Piracicaba vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
XVD
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
XVD
2 - 0
LIN
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 2
XVD
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 3
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
XVD
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
COM
0 - 3
AUD
24%
26%
51%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
COM
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
ITU
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
COR
3 - 0
COM
75%
19%
6%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |