Xinabajul vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SOL
0 - 2
XIN
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
XIN
0 - 0
AUR
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +10 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SPD
1 - 0
XIN
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
XIN
1 - 0
COA
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
IZT
1 - 0
XIN
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NUE
3 - 1
CHI
59%
23%
19%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LEO
2 - 0
NUE
49%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
NUE
4 - 2
REU
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
QUI
0 - 1
NUE
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NUE
2 - 0
SOL
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |