Xinabajul vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
10º
11º
29
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MIX
3 - 1
XIN
41%
28%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
XIN
0 - 0
ANT
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
XIN
1 - 1
TOR
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
MUN
2 - 1
XIN
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
XIN
2 - 2
CHI
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 2
CHI
51%
28%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
ACH
1 - 2
GUA
45%
27%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
COB
0 - 0
GUA
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
LEO
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |