Xilvar vs Penya Arrabal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xilvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 3
XIL
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
XIL
1 - 0
PLA
54%
22%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
GEN
2 - 1
XIL
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
XIL
2 - 1
SCD
35%
25%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CFP
3 - 1
XIL
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
9%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CAL
0 - 2
PEN
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 0
MUR
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
CLL
3 - 1
PEN
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 0
SHO
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |