Xerxes vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerxes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1967 |
PSV
0 - 0
XER
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
XER
1 - 1
SIT
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
SPA
2 - 0
XER
69%
17%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
XER
2 - 0
MVV
49%
24%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
DWS
5 - 1
XER
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1967 |
WIL
0 - 0
ADO
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
FOR
1 - 1
WIL
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
WIL
0 - 2
GRO
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
WIL
0 - 3
FEY
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
GAE
2 - 0
WIL
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |