Würzburger Kickers vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
WUR
2 - 3
HAN
27%
23%
51%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 1
WUR
29%
23%
49%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
SVH
2 - 2
WUR
13%
17%
69%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
M05
6 - 0
WUR
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
FCU
2 - 0
WUR
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ULM
2 - 0
ERZ
11%
17%
72%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ERZ
0 - 1
SGD
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
ERZ
3 - 1
MAG
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
ERZ
4 - 0
POG
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
ERZ
0 - 1
OFC
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |