Hubei Istar vs Yunnan Yukun analysis


43	ELO	45
-12.7%	Tilt	-16%
9379º	General ELO ranking	1819º
47º	Country ELO ranking	12º
ELO win probability

41.9%

Hubei Istar

25.2%

Draw

32.8%

Yunnan Yukun

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

41.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%

25.2%

Draw

0-0

6.2%

1-1

11.9%

2-2

5.7%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

25.2%

32.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-35%

+6%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

23

7º

8º

45

1º

6º

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

3º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
3º	45	18	1º	100%
2º	47	16	2º	100%
1º	49	13	3º	100%
4º	44	13	4º	100%
5º	38	10	5º	100%
7º	25	8	6º	100%
6º	27	7	7º	100%
8º	23	4	8º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	100%
Mid-table	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hubei Istar

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 Oct. 2023	WCH 0 - 1 GUA 62% 22% 17%	44	34	10	0
17 Sep. 2023	CHO 3 - 0 WCH 50% 24% 26%	46	46	0	-2
09 Sep. 2023	WCH 2 - 0 JIA 74% 16% 10%	45	29	16	+1
03 Sep. 2023	YUN 1 - 1 WCH 37% 26% 37%	45	39	6	0
26 Aug. 2023	GUA 1 - 0 WCH 23% 26% 51%	46	31	15	-1

Matches

Yunnan Yukun

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 Oct. 2023	DAL 0 - 1 YUN 33% 25% 43%	43	37	6	0
16 Sep. 2023	YUN 1 - 0 QFC 34% 26% 40%	41	49	8	+2
10 Sep. 2023	BIT 0 - 3 YUN 40% 22% 38%	39	36	3	+2
03 Sep. 2023	YUN 1 - 1 WCH 37% 26% 37%	39	45	6	0
27 Aug. 2023	YUN 1 - 1 DAL 57% 20% 23%	39	35	4	0