Hertha Wels vs Wolfsberger AC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
4º
2º
29
8º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 51 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 45 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 44 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 30 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 51.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
ARD
84%
11%
6%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HER
6 - 3
SPG
90%
8%
3%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
RIE
4 - 0
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
HER
2 - 3
VOI
58%
21%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
VOR
1 - 0
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Wolfsberger AC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
KLA
2 - 2
WAC
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
WAC
3 - 0
ATV
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
DON
1 - 16
WAC
19%
18%
63%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
GUR
0 - 2
WAC
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WAC
0 - 0
ANN
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |