Hogo Wels vs USC Wallern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hogo Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAD
1 - 0
HER
12%
17%
71%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
WEL
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SSM
2 - 1
HER
15%
18%
67%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
HER
0 - 0
GMU
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
DON
3 - 0
HER
11%
16%
73%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | -3 |
Matches
USC Wallern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 0
UNI
30%
22%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
UNP
1 - 3
WAL
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 2
UNI
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
WAL
66%
18%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
1 - 0
NEU
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |