Wrexham AFC vs Peterborough United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 2
WRE
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
WRE
1 - 2
LEY
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 2
WRE
15%
23%
62%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
WRE
1 - 0
BOL
50%
23%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
POR
1 - 4
WRE
18%
21%
60%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
HUR
0 - 1
POS
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
STE
1 - 1
POS
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
POS
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
POS
3 - 2
CHE
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BRO
3 - 1
POS
18%
21%
61%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -2 |