League One Round 25

Wrexham AFC vs Peterborough United analysis

Wrexham AFC Peterborough United
76 ELO 71
10.4% Tilt 2.3%
960º General ELO ranking 1659º
Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
52.8%
Wrexham AFC
22.8%
Draw
24.5%
Peterborough United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
Wrexham AFC
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.5%
Win probability
Peterborough United
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wrexham AFC
+5%
-9%
Peterborough United

Points and table prediction

Wrexham AFC
Their league position
Peterborough United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
92
11º
51
23º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Birmingham City
111
111
100%
Wrexham AFC
92
92
100%
Stockport County
87
87
100%
Charlton Athletic
85
85
100%
Wycombe Wanderers
84
84
100%
Leyton Orient
78
78
100%
Reading
75
75
100%
Bolton Wanderers
68
68
100%
Blackpool
67
67
100%
Huddersfield Town
10º
64
64
10º
100%
Lincoln City
11º
61
61
11º
100%
Barnsley
12º
61
61
12º
100%
Rotherham United
13º
59
59
13º
100%
Stevenage
14º
57
57
14º
100%
Wigan Athletic
15º
56
56
15º
0%
Exeter City
16º
56
56
16º
0%
Mansfield Town
17º
54
54
17º
100%
Peterborough United
18º
51
51
18º
100%
Northampton
19º
51
51
19º
100%
Burton Albion
20º
47
47
20º
100%
Crawley Town
21º
46
46
21º
100%
Bristol Rovers
22º
43
43
22º
100%
Cambridge United
23º
38
38
23º
100%
Shrewsbury Town
24º
33
33
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Wrexham AFC
Peterborough United
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Wrexham AFC
Peterborough United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2025
BAR
Barnsley
2 - 1
Wrexham AFC
WRE
39%
26%
35%
76 72 4 0
29 Dec. 2024
WRE
Wrexham AFC
2 - 1
Wigan Athletic
WIG
62%
22%
16%
76 70 6 0
26 Dec. 2024
WRE
Wrexham AFC
2 - 1
Blackpool
BPO
56%
23%
21%
76 73 3 0
21 Dec. 2024
BRO
Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Wrexham AFC
WRE
18%
24%
58%
77 60 17 -1
14 Dec. 2024
WRE
Wrexham AFC
2 - 2
Cambridge United
CAM
77%
15%
7%
77 59 18 0

Matches

Peterborough United
Peterborough United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2025
BUR
Burton Albion
2 - 2
Peterborough United
POS
14%
20%
67%
72 56 16 0
29 Dec. 2024
POS
Peterborough United
1 - 3
Barnsley
BAR
52%
23%
25%
73 71 2 -1
26 Dec. 2024
POS
Peterborough United
0 - 3
Mansfield Town
MAN
59%
22%
20%
74 71 3 -1
20 Dec. 2024
STO
Stockport County
2 - 1
Peterborough United
POS
37%
25%
39%
75 73 2 -1
17 Dec. 2024
POS
Peterborough United
3 - 0
Northampton
NOR
74%
15%
11%
74 62 12 +1