National League Playoff . Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Wrexham AFC vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
LUT
2 - 0
WRE
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WRE
5 - 1
BRA
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 1
WRE
31%
29%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 0
WRE
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 2
GRI
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
LUT
2 - 0
WRE
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FLE
0 - 2
LUT
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
GAT
0 - 0
LUT
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LUT
1 - 0
KID
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
LUT
3 - 0
EBB
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |