Wrexham AFC vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
WRE
1 - 2
HIN
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
WRE
2 - 0
SOU
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
WRE
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
WRE
1 - 2
AIR
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
WRE
2 - 1
DAR
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GAT
3 - 2
KET
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
STO
0 - 1
GAT
31%
23%
46%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 2
TAM
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
GAT
48%
24%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 1
FLE
30%
26%
45%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |