Worthing vs Three Bridges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 1
WOR
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 1
CRA
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HYT
3 - 1
WOR
37%
24%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
RAM
4 - 3
WOR
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 0
BOG
24%
23%
53%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Three Bridges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
THR
1 - 2
SIT
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |