Worthing vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
WHI
1 - 0
WOR
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 1
WAL
78%
14%
9%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 4
WOR
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 2
WAL
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
WOR
26%
24%
51%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 4
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
CAR
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 4
WOR
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 2
CHI
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
WHI
0 - 1
CHI
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |